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Better mortgage spreads boost housing demand in 2025

Housing Wire

One of the lesser known storylines in housing economics is that the improvement in mortgage spreads since 2023 has contributed to a noticeable trend in purchase application data for 2025, which is now showing 15 consecutive weeks of positive year-over-year growth. A historical review of these spreads shows that they are currently elevated.

Mortgages 492
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Mortgage demand still staying firm with elevated rates

Housing Wire

If someone had told me that home sales would remain firm this year despite mortgage rates ranging from 7.25% to 6.64%, I would not have taken that bet. However, amid all the chaotic economic headlines of 2025 so far, the demand for mortgages is holding steady, even with the higher rates. That would mean nearly 6% mortgage rates.

Mortgages 486
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How are mortgage rates affecting housing demand?

Housing Wire

It has been almost two months since mortgage rates spiked again, and my initial thought was this would tank housing demand. We had a positive 18-week period with purchase applications before mortgage rates started rising in September. Initially, the data showed more robust performance as mortgage rates approached 6%.

Mortgages 514
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Lower mortgage rates are spurring housing demand

Housing Wire

Mortgage rates recently hit a year-to-date low, coinciding with ongoing market disruptions from tariffs. In fact, if mortgage rates head toward 6%, we will have a positive year here. Last year, we saw mortgage rates increase from 6.63% to about 7.50%, leading to challenges in the purchase application data.

Mortgages 533
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The Real Estate Pulse: Analyzing the 2022 Housing Market

Speaker: Grier Allen, CEO and Co-Founder of BoomTown

And while the seller’s market continues to shape 2022, real estate experts predict significant changes in inventory, mortgage rates, home prices, and buyer’s checklists. For real estate professionals, 2021 was an iconic year. It can be difficult to navigate these constant shifts.

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What happens to mortgage rates with more trade deals?

Housing Wire

What will happen to mortgage rates now that China and the U.S. This raises the question: Is the de-escalation of the trade war good for mortgage rates ? The trade deals are just one factor, but I see three possible scenarios for mortgage rates in this environment. Mortgage rates have stayed between 7.25% and 6.55%.

Mortgages 435
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Mortgage applications nosedive 17%

Housing Wire

Mortgage applications decreased 17% from one week earlier as mortgage rates surged, according to data from the Mortgage Bankers Association ’s (MBA) weekly application survey for the week ending October 11, 2024. The refinance index decreased 26% from the previous week and was 111% higher than the same week one year ago.

Mortgages 521