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DataDigest: What the latest data says about home prices, construction and sales

Housing Wire

New home sales The seasonally adjusted annual rate of new single-family home sales in October landed at 679,000, according to data published on Monday by the U.S. The region was responsible for almost 65% of the adjusted rate of home sales, up about 10 percentage points from the same month in 2018.

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DataDigest: Construction costs easing for homebuilders

Housing Wire

New home construction exploded early in the pandemic as soaring home demand squeezed existing inventory nationwide, giving homebuilders a much bigger share of a shrinking pie. Index values for most construction inputs are down from 2022 but remain above pre-pandemic levels. That could set the backdrop for a slower pace of construction.

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New home sales market welcomes lower mortgage rates

Housing Wire

New home sales missed sales estimates , but the builders’ stocks have been roaring higher. Also, new home sales are notorious for big positive and negative prints that tend to get revised. For sale inventory and months’ supply : The seasonally adjusted estimate of new houses for sale at the end of November was 451,000.

Sales 529
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2023 New home sales helped the economy avoid a recession 

Housing Wire

People say that housing leads the economy into a recession: this is true when new home sales and housing permits fall together. This is one reason I raised my fifth recession red flag for Housing on June 16, 2022 as I saw that higher mortgage rates would impact new home sales and housing permits. months at the current sales rate.

Sales 514
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New-home sales beat estimates but need a dose of reality

Housing Wire

With new-home sales growing since 2022, why are housing starts at recessionary levels? We had no growth in residential construction work hiring earlier in the year when rates were higher. I recently raised this concern about housing construction and new home sales in an interview on CNBC.

Sales 488
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New home sales struggling to grow with higher rates

Housing Wire

Will the Federal Reserve pivot in time to save construction workers? This is key because, traditionally, residential construction workers are the first to lose their jobs before every recession since higher mortgage rates hit housing first. months at the current sales rate. percent (±14.6 percent (±15.2 Monthly supply: 9.3

Sales 488
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What the new home sales report shows about labor market risk

Housing Wire

New home sales missed estimates , showing that demand isn’t crashing but not growing much either. However, we need to keep an eye on the housing construction data in this report because it has huge implications for the economic cycle, our recession risk and mortgage rates. months at the current sales rate. Today, even with 9.1

Sales 496