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Why new home sales are disappointing, despite beating estimates

Housing Wire

Todays new home sales report beat market expectations, just like last weeks existing home sales report. From Census : New Home Sales : Sales of new single-family houses in December 2024 were at a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 698,000, according to estimates released jointly today by the U.S. percent (19.7

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New-home sales beat estimates but need a dose of reality

Housing Wire

With new-home sales growing since 2022, why are housing starts at recessionary levels? We had no growth in residential construction work hiring earlier in the year when rates were higher. I recently raised this concern about housing construction and new home sales in an interview on CNBC. Then mortgage rates fell from 7.5%

Sales 488
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Dunmor CEO Franck Ruimy on Newfi partnership and the residential investment lending sector

Housing Wire

Last week, business-purpose residential mortgage lender Dunmor announced that it received a minority equity investment from Newfi Lending , a nonagency mortgage lender owned by funds managed by Apollo Global Management. What does this mean for the residential real estate sector and how business-purpose mortgage lenders are trying to expand?

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The homebuilders’ 2025 supply and demand problem

Housing Wire

New home sales grew over last month in the latest Census report , but homebuilders are now facing a supply issue their inventory is building up. Monthly new home sales have been stagnant for the past two years. When mortgage rates decline, sales improve, but it becomes more challenging for builders and buyers when rates rise.

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The Federal Reserve’s housing recession dilemma

Housing Wire

Interestingly, employment for residential construction workers typically one of the first areas to experience declines before a recession has not yet seen its usual downturn. Instead, the existing home sales market is more about transferring commissions rather than causing significant job losses in the economy. We will soon find out.

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What’s keeping homebuilders from large-scale layoffs?

Housing Wire

However, employment for residential construction workers hasnt fallen at all, even with the decline in housing starts and permits. For those looking for recession signals , a decrease in the number of residential construction workers is usually an early sign. For the past two years, new home sales have ranged between 625,000-741,000.

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Private equity and insurance companies piling into residential mortgages

Housing Wire

After two years of limited demand, private equity and insurance companies are increasing their allocations to single family residential mortgages. The current stress in the CRE and C&I loan markets further highlights the advantages of residential mortgages.